The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) has released its 2025 Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP), warning of delayed rainfall onset, extreme weather conditions, and potential flash floods in coastal areas.
The report was officially unveiled in Abuja by the Minister of Aviation and Aerospace, Festus Keyamo, under the theme: “The Role of Early Warnings Towards a Climate-Resilient Aviation Industry for Sustainable Socio-Economic Development.”
Keyamo highlighted the increasing impact of climate change on aviation, agriculture, infrastructure, and disaster management, urging stakeholders to rely on NiMet’s forecasts for informed decision-making.
Key Climate Predictions for 2025:
1. Late Rainfall Onset:
•Rainfall will arrive later than usual in Northern and Central states, including Plateau, Kaduna, Niger, Benue, Nasarawa, Taraba, Adamawa, and Kwara.
•However, early rainfall is expected in Delta, Bayelsa, Rivers, Anambra, Lagos, Ogun, Osun, Oyo, Ondo, Edo, Enugu, Imo, and Ebonyi.
2. Early Rainfall End:
•The rainy season will end earlier than usual in Zamfara, Katsina, Kano, Kaduna, Jigawa, Plateau, Bauchi, Borno, Yobe, Adamawa, Taraba, Niger, Kwara, Kogi, FCT, Ekiti, and Ondo.
•Conversely, Lagos, Kwara, Taraba, Oyo, Ogun, Cross River, Delta, Akwa Ibom, Ebonyi, Anambra, and Enugu will experience prolonged rainfall.
3. Rainfall Trends:
•Most parts of the country will experience normal to below-average rainfall.
•However, Kebbi, Kaduna, Ebonyi, Cross River, Lagos, Abia, Akwa Ibom, and the FCT will receive above-normal rainfall.
4. Flash Flood Risks:
•Heavy rainfall in May and June may trigger flash floods, particularly in coastal cities.
5. Dry Spells:
•Severe dry spells (over 15 days) will affect Oyo State, particularly Saki, Iseyin, Ogbomosho, and Atisbo.
•Moderate dry spells (up to 15 days) will impact Ekiti, Osun, Ondo, Ogun, Edo, Ebonyi, Anambra, Imo, Abia, Cross River, Delta, Bayelsa, and Akwa Ibom.
•Northern states could experience even longer dry spells, lasting up to 21 days between June and August.
6. August Break:
•A period of little or no rainfall is expected in late July.
•Severe August Break (27–40 rain-free days): Lagos and Ogun.
•Moderate effects: Ogun, Oyo, and Ekiti.
•Lighter effects: Osun, Oyo, Kwara, and northern Ondo.
7. Temperature Outlook:
•2025 is expected to be hotter than average, with intense heat waves projected in January, February, March, and May.
•Northern states will bear the brunt of extreme heat conditions.
NiMet emphasized that its predictions align with the United Nations’ Early Warnings for All Initiative, serving as a crucial tool for policymakers and disaster management agencies.
Minister Festus Keyamo reaffirmed the Federal Government’s commitment to climate resilience, commending President Bola Tinubu for his continued support of NiMet’s efforts.
NiMet’s Director General, Prof. Charles Anosike, acknowledged the Senate and House Committees on Aviation for their backing. He stressed the need for collaboration to ensure climate predictions reach all communities, particularly vulnerable areas.
To enhance public accessibility, NiMet has translated the 2025 SCP into Hausa, Igbo, Yoruba, and Pidgin English for wider dissemination.
The agency urged farmers, aviation stakeholders, and disaster management officials to stay updated and take necessary precautions. NiMet reaffirmed its commitment to providing timely and accurate weather updates to support national development and disaster preparedness.
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